MetService's latest forecast, updated late April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C under mainly fine skies with strong morning northwesterlies easing later and a slight chance of evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 19°C and 32.5% on 20°C. A high pressure ridge over the North Island promotes clear conditions for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM, but model uncertainty in northwesterly wind strength—known for foehn warming downslope from the Tararua Range—differentiates outcomes, potentially boosting peaks to 20°C if skies stay unobscured. This setup exceeds April climatological highs of 16-17°C; watch for April 3 forecast refinements from NIWA and MetService amid stable ridge patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
21°C 13.0%
$22,805 Vol.
$22,805 Vol.
2026/04/04
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
17%
19°C
38%
20°C
33%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
21°C 13.0%
$22,805 Vol.
$22,805 Vol.
2026/04/04
12°C or below
$4,974 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,035 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,124 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,115 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,063 Vol.
2%
18°C
$921 Vol.
17%
19°C
$1,611 Vol.
38%
20°C
$1,030 Vol.
33%
21°C
$2,157 Vol.
13%
22°C or higher
$1,599 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated late April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C under mainly fine skies with strong morning northwesterlies easing later and a slight chance of evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 19°C and 32.5% on 20°C. A high pressure ridge over the North Island promotes clear conditions for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM, but model uncertainty in northwesterly wind strength—known for foehn warming downslope from the Tararua Range—differentiates outcomes, potentially boosting peaks to 20°C if skies stay unobscured. This setup exceeds April climatological highs of 16-17°C; watch for April 3 forecast refinements from NIWA and MetService amid stable ridge patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
音量
$22,805終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated late April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C under mainly fine skies with strong morning northwesterlies easing later and a slight chance of evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 19°C and 32.5% on 20°C. A high pressure ridge over the North Island promotes clear conditions for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM, but model uncertainty in northwesterly wind strength—known for foehn warming downslope from the Tararua Range—differentiates outcomes, potentially boosting peaks to 20°C if skies stay unobscured. This setup exceeds April climatological highs of 16-17°C; watch for April 3 forecast refinements from NIWA and MetService amid stable ridge patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$22,805終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETMetService's latest forecast, updated late April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C under mainly fine skies with strong morning northwesterlies easing later and a slight chance of evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 19°C and 32.5% on 20°C. A high pressure ridge over the North Island promotes clear conditions for peak afternoon heating around 2-4 PM, but model uncertainty in northwesterly wind strength—known for foehn warming downslope from the Tararua Range—differentiates outcomes, potentially boosting peaks to 20°C if skies stay unobscured. This setup exceeds April climatological highs of 16-17°C; watch for April 3 forecast refinements from NIWA and MetService amid stable ridge patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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