Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
20°C 14%
23°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
22%
22°C
24%
23°C
14%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
20°C 14%
23°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
16°C or below
$501 Vol.
1%
17°C
$183 Vol.
3%
18°C
$58 Vol.
6%
19°C
$97 Vol.
11%
20°C
$75 Vol.
14%
21°C
$130 Vol.
22%
22°C
$248 Vol.
24%
23°C
$80 Vol.
14%
24°C
$60 Vol.
5%
25°C
$137 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$788 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$2,355終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,355終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
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