Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 54-59°F due to a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast Pacific. Recent cool highs in the low 50s°F earlier this week have shifted as subtle ridging promotes northerly winds that could erode persistent marine stratocumulus clouds, allowing upper-50s peaks in drier GFS ensemble members, while ECMWF runs favor cooler mid-50s outcomes under overcast skies. Climatological April averages near 57°F align with this spread; watch 12Z model updates and NWS Area Forecast Discussion for cloud cover resolution ahead of the Tuesday event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
56-57°F 30%
58-59°F 22%
54-55°F 19%
52-53°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
45°F or below
3%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
12%
64°F or higher
10%
56-57°F 30%
58-59°F 22%
54-55°F 19%
52-53°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
45°F or below
$40 Vol.
3%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
7%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$10 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$22 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
12%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
12%
64°F or higher
$6 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 54-59°F due to a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast Pacific. Recent cool highs in the low 50s°F earlier this week have shifted as subtle ridging promotes northerly winds that could erode persistent marine stratocumulus clouds, allowing upper-50s peaks in drier GFS ensemble members, while ECMWF runs favor cooler mid-50s outcomes under overcast skies. Climatological April averages near 57°F align with this spread; watch 12Z model updates and NWS Area Forecast Discussion for cloud cover resolution ahead of the Tuesday event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$88終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 54-59°F due to a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast Pacific. Recent cool highs in the low 50s°F earlier this week have shifted as subtle ridging promotes northerly winds that could erode persistent marine stratocumulus clouds, allowing upper-50s peaks in drier GFS ensemble members, while ECMWF runs favor cooler mid-50s outcomes under overcast skies. Climatological April averages near 57°F align with this spread; watch 12Z model updates and NWS Area Forecast Discussion for cloud cover resolution ahead of the Tuesday event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$88終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 54-59°F due to a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast Pacific. Recent cool highs in the low 50s°F earlier this week have shifted as subtle ridging promotes northerly winds that could erode persistent marine stratocumulus clouds, allowing upper-50s peaks in drier GFS ensemble members, while ECMWF runs favor cooler mid-50s outcomes under overcast skies. Climatological April averages near 57°F align with this spread; watch 12Z model updates and NWS Area Forecast Discussion for cloud cover resolution ahead of the Tuesday event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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