Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.4%
$17,236 Vol.
$17,236 Vol.
2026/04/04
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.4%
$17,236 Vol.
$17,236 Vol.
2026/04/04
49°F or below
$5,460 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,165 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$654 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$534 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$1,320 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$2,302 Vol.
25%
60-61°F
$1,257 Vol.
35%
62-63°F
$2,106 Vol.
30%
64-65°F
$1,028 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$513 Vol.
1%
68°F or higher
$904 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
音量
$17,236終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,236終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETLatest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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