Latest National Weather Service Seattle forecast discussion outlines a warming trend through the weekend, with upper-level ridging building over the Pacific Northwest to suppress precipitation and boost highs into the low-to-mid 60s on April 5. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Seattle-area maximum temperatures around 62-65°F, aligning with trader consensus where 64-65°F leads at 32% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 62-63°F at 29.5%. Key differentiators include model spread on marine stratus persistence—ECMWF shows earlier clearing for added solar heating, while GFS retains more clouds—potentially varying peaks by 2-3°F amid typical early April variability (historical average ~58°F). New 12z model runs and afternoon NWS updates could refine this uncertainty before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 31%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 31%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
55°F or below
$1,266 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$91 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$80 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$376 Vol.
20%
62-63°F
$643 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$277 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$154 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$116 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$68 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$183 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$446 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Seattle forecast discussion outlines a warming trend through the weekend, with upper-level ridging building over the Pacific Northwest to suppress precipitation and boost highs into the low-to-mid 60s on April 5. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Seattle-area maximum temperatures around 62-65°F, aligning with trader consensus where 64-65°F leads at 32% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 62-63°F at 29.5%. Key differentiators include model spread on marine stratus persistence—ECMWF shows earlier clearing for added solar heating, while GFS retains more clouds—potentially varying peaks by 2-3°F amid typical early April variability (historical average ~58°F). New 12z model runs and afternoon NWS updates could refine this uncertainty before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$3,699終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Seattle forecast discussion outlines a warming trend through the weekend, with upper-level ridging building over the Pacific Northwest to suppress precipitation and boost highs into the low-to-mid 60s on April 5. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Seattle-area maximum temperatures around 62-65°F, aligning with trader consensus where 64-65°F leads at 32% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 62-63°F at 29.5%. Key differentiators include model spread on marine stratus persistence—ECMWF shows earlier clearing for added solar heating, while GFS retains more clouds—potentially varying peaks by 2-3°F amid typical early April variability (historical average ~58°F). New 12z model runs and afternoon NWS updates could refine this uncertainty before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,699終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service Seattle forecast discussion outlines a warming trend through the weekend, with upper-level ridging building over the Pacific Northwest to suppress precipitation and boost highs into the low-to-mid 60s on April 5. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Seattle-area maximum temperatures around 62-65°F, aligning with trader consensus where 64-65°F leads at 32% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 62-63°F at 29.5%. Key differentiators include model spread on marine stratus persistence—ECMWF shows earlier clearing for added solar heating, while GFS retains more clouds—potentially varying peaks by 2-3°F amid typical early April variability (historical average ~58°F). New 12z model runs and afternoon NWS updates could refine this uncertainty before resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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