Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C amid light rain and lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers that suppressed recent readings to 23–27°C. This tight spread reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks below 30°C, while warm sea surface temperatures and weak winds support modest recovery from rainy cooldowns. April climatology averages 26–27°C highs, with steering patterns favoring humid southerlies; watch CMA's evening update for refined ensemble guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
6%
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
21°C or below
$478 Vol.
1%
22°C
$261 Vol.
1%
23°C
$251 Vol.
1%
24°C
$109 Vol.
1%
25°C
$340 Vol.
4%
26°C
$226 Vol.
7%
27°C
$176 Vol.
27%
28°C
$312 Vol.
25%
29°C
$120 Vol.
25%
30°C
$209 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$183 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C amid light rain and lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers that suppressed recent readings to 23–27°C. This tight spread reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks below 30°C, while warm sea surface temperatures and weak winds support modest recovery from rainy cooldowns. April climatology averages 26–27°C highs, with steering patterns favoring humid southerlies; watch CMA's evening update for refined ensemble guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
音量
$2,665終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C amid light rain and lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers that suppressed recent readings to 23–27°C. This tight spread reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks below 30°C, while warm sea surface temperatures and weak winds support modest recovery from rainy cooldowns. April climatology averages 26–27°C highs, with steering patterns favoring humid southerlies; watch CMA's evening update for refined ensemble guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,665終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C amid light rain and lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers that suppressed recent readings to 23–27°C. This tight spread reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks below 30°C, while warm sea surface temperatures and weak winds support modest recovery from rainy cooldowns. April climatology averages 26–27°C highs, with steering patterns favoring humid southerlies; watch CMA's evening update for refined ensemble guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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