Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
16°C 25%
14°C 25%
20°C or higher 20%
15°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
10°C or below
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
7%
14°C
25%
15°C
14%
16°C
25%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
29%
20°C or higher
20%
16°C 25%
14°C 25%
20°C or higher 20%
15°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
10°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
7%
14°C
$8 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$33 Vol.
29%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$86終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$86終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in four-day forecasts for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 14–16°C (25.5% each) and a leading 29.5% chance for 20°C or higher, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. The Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European models project a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly winds and potential clear skies boosting peaks to 18–20°C, while U.S. GFS variants anticipate persistent cloud cover and cooler northerlies limiting highs to mid-teens. Early April's cool anomalies (recent highs ~12°C) add variability, but no major shifts in the last 48 hours; watch daily DWD updates and ECMWF refreshes Tuesday for resolution cues near historical April norms of 13–15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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