Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 8, with forecasts diverging between the mid-70s and low 80s°F amid a cooling trend following recent severe weather. Beneficial rains and an EF-0 tornado near Giddings on April 2 have ushered in a moist, unstable air mass, increasing cloud cover and storm chances into early next week, potentially capping highs below climatological April averages near 79°F. Divergent GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to upper-level trough progression and boundary layer mixing, with new observational data and forecast updates expected daily through NOAA briefings ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 8?
82-83°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
27%
84°F or higher
7%
82-83°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
65°F or below
$20 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$15 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
27%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 8, with forecasts diverging between the mid-70s and low 80s°F amid a cooling trend following recent severe weather. Beneficial rains and an EF-0 tornado near Giddings on April 2 have ushered in a moist, unstable air mass, increasing cloud cover and storm chances into early next week, potentially capping highs below climatological April averages near 79°F. Divergent GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to upper-level trough progression and boundary layer mixing, with new observational data and forecast updates expected daily through NOAA briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$85終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 8, with forecasts diverging between the mid-70s and low 80s°F amid a cooling trend following recent severe weather. Beneficial rains and an EF-0 tornado near Giddings on April 2 have ushered in a moist, unstable air mass, increasing cloud cover and storm chances into early next week, potentially capping highs below climatological April averages near 79°F. Divergent GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to upper-level trough progression and boundary layer mixing, with new observational data and forecast updates expected daily through NOAA briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$85終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 8, with forecasts diverging between the mid-70s and low 80s°F amid a cooling trend following recent severe weather. Beneficial rains and an EF-0 tornado near Giddings on April 2 have ushered in a moist, unstable air mass, increasing cloud cover and storm chances into early next week, potentially capping highs below climatological April averages near 79°F. Divergent GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to upper-level trough progression and boundary layer mixing, with new observational data and forecast updates expected daily through NOAA briefings ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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