Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with implied highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F following a frontal passage after weekend storms. Recent area forecast discussions highlight above-average temperatures through Saturday giving way to below-average readings Easter Sunday through Tuesday, driven by cooler air advection, persistent cloud cover, and lingering moisture from rain chances peaking late April 4-5. This suppresses maximum temperatures below the early April climatological average of 78-79°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with 70-71°F leading at 23% implied probability amid model consensus from GFS and ECMWF. Key differentiators include the timing of frontal clearing and any residual showers, which could shave 2-4°F off peaks; watch NWS updates and new model runs Saturday for shifts, as short-range uncertainty remains around exact boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
61°F or below
$568 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$584 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$290 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$358 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$284 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$282 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$335 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$311 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$208 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$213 Vol.
10%
80°F or higher
$291 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with implied highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F following a frontal passage after weekend storms. Recent area forecast discussions highlight above-average temperatures through Saturday giving way to below-average readings Easter Sunday through Tuesday, driven by cooler air advection, persistent cloud cover, and lingering moisture from rain chances peaking late April 4-5. This suppresses maximum temperatures below the early April climatological average of 78-79°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with 70-71°F leading at 23% implied probability amid model consensus from GFS and ECMWF. Key differentiators include the timing of frontal clearing and any residual showers, which could shave 2-4°F off peaks; watch NWS updates and new model runs Saturday for shifts, as short-range uncertainty remains around exact boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$3,723終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with implied highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F following a frontal passage after weekend storms. Recent area forecast discussions highlight above-average temperatures through Saturday giving way to below-average readings Easter Sunday through Tuesday, driven by cooler air advection, persistent cloud cover, and lingering moisture from rain chances peaking late April 4-5. This suppresses maximum temperatures below the early April climatological average of 78-79°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with 70-71°F leading at 23% implied probability amid model consensus from GFS and ECMWF. Key differentiators include the timing of frontal clearing and any residual showers, which could shave 2-4°F off peaks; watch NWS updates and new model runs Saturday for shifts, as short-range uncertainty remains around exact boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,723終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with implied highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F following a frontal passage after weekend storms. Recent area forecast discussions highlight above-average temperatures through Saturday giving way to below-average readings Easter Sunday through Tuesday, driven by cooler air advection, persistent cloud cover, and lingering moisture from rain chances peaking late April 4-5. This suppresses maximum temperatures below the early April climatological average of 78-79°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with 70-71°F leading at 23% implied probability amid model consensus from GFS and ECMWF. Key differentiators include the timing of frontal clearing and any residual showers, which could shave 2-4°F off peaks; watch NWS updates and new model runs Saturday for shifts, as short-range uncertainty remains around exact boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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