Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8, with model ensembles like those from global systems projecting daily highs between 20-24°C amid typical early spring variability. Recent observational data shows warming trends, with highs reaching 24°C on April 4 under partly clear skies, but incoming weak frontal systems introduce scattered clouds and possible light showers that could cap peaks at 20-21°C per China Meteorological Administration outlooks. Historical April 8 averages hover around 21°C, with solar insolation and cloud cover as key differentiators—sunny breaks favor 24°C or higher (26% implied probability), while overcast conditions tilt toward mid-20s. Daily forecast updates expected through April 7 will refine resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
24°C or higher 26%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
22°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
19%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
26%
24°C or higher 26%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
22°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
14°C or below
$281 Vol.
1%
15°C
$400 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$6 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$12 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8, with model ensembles like those from global systems projecting daily highs between 20-24°C amid typical early spring variability. Recent observational data shows warming trends, with highs reaching 24°C on April 4 under partly clear skies, but incoming weak frontal systems introduce scattered clouds and possible light showers that could cap peaks at 20-21°C per China Meteorological Administration outlooks. Historical April 8 averages hover around 21°C, with solar insolation and cloud cover as key differentiators—sunny breaks favor 24°C or higher (26% implied probability), while overcast conditions tilt toward mid-20s. Daily forecast updates expected through April 7 will refine resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$700終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8, with model ensembles like those from global systems projecting daily highs between 20-24°C amid typical early spring variability. Recent observational data shows warming trends, with highs reaching 24°C on April 4 under partly clear skies, but incoming weak frontal systems introduce scattered clouds and possible light showers that could cap peaks at 20-21°C per China Meteorological Administration outlooks. Historical April 8 averages hover around 21°C, with solar insolation and cloud cover as key differentiators—sunny breaks favor 24°C or higher (26% implied probability), while overcast conditions tilt toward mid-20s. Daily forecast updates expected through April 7 will refine resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$700終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8, with model ensembles like those from global systems projecting daily highs between 20-24°C amid typical early spring variability. Recent observational data shows warming trends, with highs reaching 24°C on April 4 under partly clear skies, but incoming weak frontal systems introduce scattered clouds and possible light showers that could cap peaks at 20-21°C per China Meteorological Administration outlooks. Historical April 8 averages hover around 21°C, with solar insolation and cloud cover as key differentiators—sunny breaks favor 24°C or higher (26% implied probability), while overcast conditions tilt toward mid-20s. Daily forecast updates expected through April 7 will refine resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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