National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature at Denver International Airport on April 8 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Rockies that promotes warm air advection and downslope warming. This follows recent gusty winds and clearing skies after March 2026's record-breaking warmth, with minimal precipitation enhancing solar heating potential at elevation. Ensemble spread accounts for 16.5% odds each on 44-45°F and 46-47°F outcomes, reflecting possible cooler ECMWF runs or transient cloud cover, against the April 8 climatological normal of 61°F. Traders await daily NWS updates and new model cycles for refinement ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 88%
54-55°F 8%
38-39°F 3.1%
40-41°F 3.1%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
7%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
82%
56°F or higher 88%
54-55°F 8%
38-39°F 3.1%
40-41°F 3.1%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
37°F or below
$165 Vol.
3%
38-39°F
$5 Vol.
3%
40-41°F
$5 Vol.
3%
42-43°F
$68 Vol.
7%
44-45°F
$5 Vol.
7%
46-47°F
$6 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$5 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
9%
54-55°F
$6 Vol.
14%
56°F or higher
$144 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature at Denver International Airport on April 8 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Rockies that promotes warm air advection and downslope warming. This follows recent gusty winds and clearing skies after March 2026's record-breaking warmth, with minimal precipitation enhancing solar heating potential at elevation. Ensemble spread accounts for 16.5% odds each on 44-45°F and 46-47°F outcomes, reflecting possible cooler ECMWF runs or transient cloud cover, against the April 8 climatological normal of 61°F. Traders await daily NWS updates and new model cycles for refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$418終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature at Denver International Airport on April 8 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Rockies that promotes warm air advection and downslope warming. This follows recent gusty winds and clearing skies after March 2026's record-breaking warmth, with minimal precipitation enhancing solar heating potential at elevation. Ensemble spread accounts for 16.5% odds each on 44-45°F and 46-47°F outcomes, reflecting possible cooler ECMWF runs or transient cloud cover, against the April 8 climatological normal of 61°F. Traders await daily NWS updates and new model cycles for refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$418終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature at Denver International Airport on April 8 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Rockies that promotes warm air advection and downslope warming. This follows recent gusty winds and clearing skies after March 2026's record-breaking warmth, with minimal precipitation enhancing solar heating potential at elevation. Ensemble spread accounts for 16.5% odds each on 44-45°F and 46-47°F outcomes, reflecting possible cooler ECMWF runs or transient cloud cover, against the April 8 climatological normal of 61°F. Traders await daily NWS updates and new model cycles for refinement ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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