National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), aligning with trader-implied probabilities where 62°F or higher leads at 45.5%, followed closely by 60-61°F (27%) and 58-59°F (25.5%). This positioning reflects a pattern shift after March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—with an upper-level ridge weakening to allow cooler mid-level air advection and scattered showers, capping peaks near climatological April 4 normals of about 60°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud cover variability and afternoon instability could alter outcomes by 2-4°F; monitor NWS Boulder updates and 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KDEN observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
62°F or higher 43%
60-61°F 27%
58-59°F 24%
56-57°F 5.3%
$14,191 Vol.
$14,191 Vol.
2026/04/04
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
27%
62°F or higher
43%
62°F or higher 43%
60-61°F 27%
58-59°F 24%
56-57°F 5.3%
$14,191 Vol.
$14,191 Vol.
2026/04/04
43°F or below
$1,811 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,313 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$644 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$976 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$1,309 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$1,139 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$1,102 Vol.
27%
62°F or higher
$1,889 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), aligning with trader-implied probabilities where 62°F or higher leads at 45.5%, followed closely by 60-61°F (27%) and 58-59°F (25.5%). This positioning reflects a pattern shift after March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—with an upper-level ridge weakening to allow cooler mid-level air advection and scattered showers, capping peaks near climatological April 4 normals of about 60°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud cover variability and afternoon instability could alter outcomes by 2-4°F; monitor NWS Boulder updates and 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KDEN observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$14,191終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), aligning with trader-implied probabilities where 62°F or higher leads at 45.5%, followed closely by 60-61°F (27%) and 58-59°F (25.5%). This positioning reflects a pattern shift after March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—with an upper-level ridge weakening to allow cooler mid-level air advection and scattered showers, capping peaks near climatological April 4 normals of about 60°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud cover variability and afternoon instability could alter outcomes by 2-4°F; monitor NWS Boulder updates and 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KDEN observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$14,191終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), aligning with trader-implied probabilities where 62°F or higher leads at 45.5%, followed closely by 60-61°F (27%) and 58-59°F (25.5%). This positioning reflects a pattern shift after March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—with an upper-level ridge weakening to allow cooler mid-level air advection and scattered showers, capping peaks near climatological April 4 normals of about 60°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud cover variability and afternoon instability could alter outcomes by 2-4°F; monitor NWS Boulder updates and 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KDEN observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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