Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Denver's April 6 high temperature in the mid-60s, with a spread differentiating the closely matched 66-67°F (24%) and 68-69°F (21%) outcomes. Recent model runs show mean projections around 67°F, but variability arises from uncertainty in downstream ridge strength over the central Rockies—stronger ridging favors upper-60s via enhanced warm air advection, while weaker patterns or lingering cumulus clouds from the shifting weather regime could cap highs nearer 62-63°F (17%). Following March 2026's record average high of 67.6°F (versus normal 55.7°F), a pattern transition brings slight cooling and shower risks, though drying trends support warmer biases. Watch 12z model updates and afternoon NHC/NWS bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution using official Denver International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
66-67°F 24%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
59°F or below
7%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
3%
66-67°F 24%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
59°F or below
$863 Vol.
7%
60-61°F
$111 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$152 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$164 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$142 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$171 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$103 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$133 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$189 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$151 Vol.
2%
78°F or higher
$718 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Denver's April 6 high temperature in the mid-60s, with a spread differentiating the closely matched 66-67°F (24%) and 68-69°F (21%) outcomes. Recent model runs show mean projections around 67°F, but variability arises from uncertainty in downstream ridge strength over the central Rockies—stronger ridging favors upper-60s via enhanced warm air advection, while weaker patterns or lingering cumulus clouds from the shifting weather regime could cap highs nearer 62-63°F (17%). Following March 2026's record average high of 67.6°F (versus normal 55.7°F), a pattern transition brings slight cooling and shower risks, though drying trends support warmer biases. Watch 12z model updates and afternoon NHC/NWS bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution using official Denver International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
音量
$2,898終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Denver's April 6 high temperature in the mid-60s, with a spread differentiating the closely matched 66-67°F (24%) and 68-69°F (21%) outcomes. Recent model runs show mean projections around 67°F, but variability arises from uncertainty in downstream ridge strength over the central Rockies—stronger ridging favors upper-60s via enhanced warm air advection, while weaker patterns or lingering cumulus clouds from the shifting weather regime could cap highs nearer 62-63°F (17%). Following March 2026's record average high of 67.6°F (versus normal 55.7°F), a pattern transition brings slight cooling and shower risks, though drying trends support warmer biases. Watch 12z model updates and afternoon NHC/NWS bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution using official Denver International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,898終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Denver's April 6 high temperature in the mid-60s, with a spread differentiating the closely matched 66-67°F (24%) and 68-69°F (21%) outcomes. Recent model runs show mean projections around 67°F, but variability arises from uncertainty in downstream ridge strength over the central Rockies—stronger ridging favors upper-60s via enhanced warm air advection, while weaker patterns or lingering cumulus clouds from the shifting weather regime could cap highs nearer 62-63°F (17%). Following March 2026's record average high of 67.6°F (versus normal 55.7°F), a pattern transition brings slight cooling and shower risks, though drying trends support warmer biases. Watch 12z model updates and afternoon NHC/NWS bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution using official Denver International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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