Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 13°C as Munich's highest temperature today at 42% implied probability, closely tracking Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance for a 12°C peak under persistent overcast skies that curb solar insolation, while GFS ensembles allow for 13-14°C with potential partial clearing. ECMWF and DWD ICON model clusters show daily highs of 11-14°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, following lingering polar air from recent cold outbreaks that moderated spring warmup. Overnight runs refined this outlook, emphasizing low stratus clouds and light southerly winds limiting boundary layer heating. Real-time Munich Airport station data will resolve the market, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon; climatological April averages near 13°C underscore the tight odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?
13°C 43%
14°C 24%
12°C 21%
15°C or higher 6.7%
$43,067 Vol.
$43,067 Vol.
2026/04/03
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
21%
13°C
43%
14°C
24%
15°C or higher
7%
13°C 43%
14°C 24%
12°C 21%
15°C or higher 6.7%
$43,067 Vol.
$43,067 Vol.
2026/04/03
5°C or below
$3,831 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,246 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,824 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,769 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,371 Vol.
1%
11°C
$6,707 Vol.
2%
12°C
$8,294 Vol.
21%
13°C
$3,828 Vol.
43%
14°C
$3,576 Vol.
24%
15°C or higher
$3,706 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 13°C as Munich's highest temperature today at 42% implied probability, closely tracking Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance for a 12°C peak under persistent overcast skies that curb solar insolation, while GFS ensembles allow for 13-14°C with potential partial clearing. ECMWF and DWD ICON model clusters show daily highs of 11-14°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, following lingering polar air from recent cold outbreaks that moderated spring warmup. Overnight runs refined this outlook, emphasizing low stratus clouds and light southerly winds limiting boundary layer heating. Real-time Munich Airport station data will resolve the market, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon; climatological April averages near 13°C underscore the tight odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
音量
$43,067終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 13°C as Munich's highest temperature today at 42% implied probability, closely tracking Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance for a 12°C peak under persistent overcast skies that curb solar insolation, while GFS ensembles allow for 13-14°C with potential partial clearing. ECMWF and DWD ICON model clusters show daily highs of 11-14°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, following lingering polar air from recent cold outbreaks that moderated spring warmup. Overnight runs refined this outlook, emphasizing low stratus clouds and light southerly winds limiting boundary layer heating. Real-time Munich Airport station data will resolve the market, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon; climatological April averages near 13°C underscore the tight odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$43,067終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 13°C as Munich's highest temperature today at 42% implied probability, closely tracking Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance for a 12°C peak under persistent overcast skies that curb solar insolation, while GFS ensembles allow for 13-14°C with potential partial clearing. ECMWF and DWD ICON model clusters show daily highs of 11-14°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, following lingering polar air from recent cold outbreaks that moderated spring warmup. Overnight runs refined this outlook, emphasizing low stratus clouds and light southerly winds limiting boundary layer heating. Real-time Munich Airport station data will resolve the market, with peak temperatures expected mid-afternoon; climatological April averages near 13°C underscore the tight odds.
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