Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13°C (29.5% implied probability) and 14°C (27.5%), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs in that range under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover extent—more persistent low-level stratus could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while earlier clearing favors 14°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Recent overnight cooling to near 7°C on April 3 sets a cool baseline, with historical early April maxima in Munich averaging 12-13°C amid typical spring frontal passages. DWD's evening update and dawn observations may shift odds before resolution based on official airport station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 33%
14°C 25%
15°C 14%
12°C 13%
$21,622 Vol.
$21,622 Vol.
2026/04/04
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
33%
14°C
25%
15°C
14%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 33%
14°C 25%
15°C 14%
12°C 13%
$21,622 Vol.
$21,622 Vol.
2026/04/04
9°C or below
$3,257 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,373 Vol.
2%
11°C
$1,954 Vol.
4%
12°C
$2,015 Vol.
13%
13°C
$1,979 Vol.
33%
14°C
$1,657 Vol.
25%
15°C
$2,674 Vol.
14%
16°C
$1,770 Vol.
5%
17°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,601 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,864 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13°C (29.5% implied probability) and 14°C (27.5%), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs in that range under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover extent—more persistent low-level stratus could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while earlier clearing favors 14°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Recent overnight cooling to near 7°C on April 3 sets a cool baseline, with historical early April maxima in Munich averaging 12-13°C amid typical spring frontal passages. DWD's evening update and dawn observations may shift odds before resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
音量
$21,622終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13°C (29.5% implied probability) and 14°C (27.5%), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs in that range under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover extent—more persistent low-level stratus could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while earlier clearing favors 14°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Recent overnight cooling to near 7°C on April 3 sets a cool baseline, with historical early April maxima in Munich averaging 12-13°C amid typical spring frontal passages. DWD's evening update and dawn observations may shift odds before resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$21,622終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13°C (29.5% implied probability) and 14°C (27.5%), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs in that range under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover extent—more persistent low-level stratus could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while earlier clearing favors 14°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Recent overnight cooling to near 7°C on April 3 sets a cool baseline, with historical early April maxima in Munich averaging 12-13°C amid typical spring frontal passages. DWD's evening update and dawn observations may shift odds before resolution based on official airport station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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