Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 21-22°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM), fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly split across 20-23°C outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. This setup follows recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, shifting from cooler early runs after a cooler, overcast spell earlier in the week with highs near 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and potential convective showers—clearer conditions could boost peaks to 23°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker clouds or a weak front might limit to 20°C. Well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch DWD hourly guidance and April 4 ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 28%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 28%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
14°C or below
$728 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$299 Vol.
2%
18°C
$600 Vol.
2%
19°C
$583 Vol.
11%
20°C
$773 Vol.
18%
21°C
$701 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,287 Vol.
24%
23°C
$613 Vol.
15%
24°C or higher
$543 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 21-22°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM), fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly split across 20-23°C outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. This setup follows recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, shifting from cooler early runs after a cooler, overcast spell earlier in the week with highs near 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and potential convective showers—clearer conditions could boost peaks to 23°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker clouds or a weak front might limit to 20°C. Well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch DWD hourly guidance and April 4 ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$6,859終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 21-22°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM), fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly split across 20-23°C outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. This setup follows recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, shifting from cooler early runs after a cooler, overcast spell earlier in the week with highs near 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and potential convective showers—clearer conditions could boost peaks to 23°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker clouds or a weak front might limit to 20°C. Well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch DWD hourly guidance and April 4 ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,859終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 21-22°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM), fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly split across 20-23°C outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. This setup follows recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, shifting from cooler early runs after a cooler, overcast spell earlier in the week with highs near 13°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and potential convective showers—clearer conditions could boost peaks to 23°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker clouds or a weak front might limit to 20°C. Well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch DWD hourly guidance and April 4 ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
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