The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,000 Vol.
$68,000 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,000 Vol.
$68,000 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C
$7,606 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,382 Vol.
98%
26°C
$3,998 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5,591 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,470 Vol.
1%
29°C
$6,073 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,268 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,706 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$9,712 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$68,000終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$68,000終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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