The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 5 at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies following a frontal system's passage, which brought cooler conditions and showers on April 3-4 with highs of 21-27°C. This aligns with trader consensus, as market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C (22.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential brief sun breaks boosting insolation, and urban heat effects in Taipei. Early April climatology shows average highs of 24-25°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread amid post-frontal warming and light winds. Watch for CWA's next update tomorrow, as refined guidance could shift probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 23%
27°C 18%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 23%
27°C 18%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
22°C or below
$838 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,494 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,013 Vol.
8%
25°C
$576 Vol.
14%
26°C
$748 Vol.
23%
27°C
$679 Vol.
18%
28°C
$595 Vol.
16%
29°C
$439 Vol.
13%
30°C
$406 Vol.
6%
31°C
$739 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$731 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 5 at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies following a frontal system's passage, which brought cooler conditions and showers on April 3-4 with highs of 21-27°C. This aligns with trader consensus, as market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C (22.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential brief sun breaks boosting insolation, and urban heat effects in Taipei. Early April climatology shows average highs of 24-25°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread amid post-frontal warming and light winds. Watch for CWA's next update tomorrow, as refined guidance could shift probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
音量
$8,259終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 5 at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies following a frontal system's passage, which brought cooler conditions and showers on April 3-4 with highs of 21-27°C. This aligns with trader consensus, as market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C (22.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential brief sun breaks boosting insolation, and urban heat effects in Taipei. Early April climatology shows average highs of 24-25°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread amid post-frontal warming and light winds. Watch for CWA's next update tomorrow, as refined guidance could shift probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,259終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 5 at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies following a frontal system's passage, which brought cooler conditions and showers on April 3-4 with highs of 21-27°C. This aligns with trader consensus, as market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C (22.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential brief sun breaks boosting insolation, and urban heat effects in Taipei. Early April climatology shows average highs of 24-25°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread amid post-frontal warming and light winds. Watch for CWA's next update tomorrow, as refined guidance could shift probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
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