Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 24°C (30% implied probability) for April 4, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 21-24°C amid an approaching frontal system ushering scattered showers, cloud cover, and northeasterly winds that suppress peak heating below the April average of 26°C. Yesterday's Taipei Times reports highlighted pre-frontal warming on April 2-3, but today's scattered thunderstorms signal the system's influence, tempering optimism for 25°C+ outcomes (19.5% and lower). Key variables include potential cloud breaks allowing brief solar heating for 25°C, versus persistent rain capping at 23°C or below (27% combined); official CWA hourly observations will resolve the market amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 29%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
22°C or below
7%
23°C
18%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 29%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
22°C or below
$901 Vol.
7%
23°C
$597 Vol.
18%
24°C
$809 Vol.
29%
25°C
$599 Vol.
19%
26°C
$495 Vol.
19%
27°C
$485 Vol.
8%
28°C
$508 Vol.
5%
29°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$579 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 24°C (30% implied probability) for April 4, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 21-24°C amid an approaching frontal system ushering scattered showers, cloud cover, and northeasterly winds that suppress peak heating below the April average of 26°C. Yesterday's Taipei Times reports highlighted pre-frontal warming on April 2-3, but today's scattered thunderstorms signal the system's influence, tempering optimism for 25°C+ outcomes (19.5% and lower). Key variables include potential cloud breaks allowing brief solar heating for 25°C, versus persistent rain capping at 23°C or below (27% combined); official CWA hourly observations will resolve the market amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
音量
$7,182終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 24°C (30% implied probability) for April 4, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 21-24°C amid an approaching frontal system ushering scattered showers, cloud cover, and northeasterly winds that suppress peak heating below the April average of 26°C. Yesterday's Taipei Times reports highlighted pre-frontal warming on April 2-3, but today's scattered thunderstorms signal the system's influence, tempering optimism for 25°C+ outcomes (19.5% and lower). Key variables include potential cloud breaks allowing brief solar heating for 25°C, versus persistent rain capping at 23°C or below (27% combined); official CWA hourly observations will resolve the market amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,182終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 24°C (30% implied probability) for April 4, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 21-24°C amid an approaching frontal system ushering scattered showers, cloud cover, and northeasterly winds that suppress peak heating below the April average of 26°C. Yesterday's Taipei Times reports highlighted pre-frontal warming on April 2-3, but today's scattered thunderstorms signal the system's influence, tempering optimism for 25°C+ outcomes (19.5% and lower). Key variables include potential cloud breaks allowing brief solar heating for 25°C, versus persistent rain capping at 23°C or below (27% combined); official CWA hourly observations will resolve the market amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問