National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 69°F for Denver on April 5 under a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning with trader consensus favoring 66-69°F outcomes at over 70% combined implied probability. This warming follows cooler highs in the 50s on April 3 amid breezy conditions, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) in agreement on dry conditions and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Differentiation among leading bins stems from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle cloud intrusions, which could cap peaks at 66-67°F or allow 68-69°F; above-normal but below record April averages (~60°F). Updated model runs expected by April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 11%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
4%
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 11%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 69°F for Denver on April 5 under a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning with trader consensus favoring 66-69°F outcomes at over 70% combined implied probability. This warming follows cooler highs in the 50s on April 3 amid breezy conditions, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) in agreement on dry conditions and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Differentiation among leading bins stems from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle cloud intrusions, which could cap peaks at 66-67°F or allow 68-69°F; above-normal but below record April averages (~60°F). Updated model runs expected by April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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