Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 70-71°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by verified National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN), where hourly METARs recorded a peak of 70°F during mid-afternoon under sunny skies and breezy north-northeast winds averaging 10-11 mph. This aligns precisely with pre-event GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a lingering high-pressure ridge following March's record warmth, with no overnight recovery below normal lows around 30°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from official archives, such as quality-controlled adjustments to Buckley Space Force Base readings used for market resolution, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$65,646 Vol.
$65,646 Vol.
2026/04/02
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$65,646 Vol.
$65,646 Vol.
2026/04/02
70-71°F
$6,175 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$3,784 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$7,075 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,903 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,986 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,375 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,792 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 70-71°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by verified National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN), where hourly METARs recorded a peak of 70°F during mid-afternoon under sunny skies and breezy north-northeast winds averaging 10-11 mph. This aligns precisely with pre-event GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a lingering high-pressure ridge following March's record warmth, with no overnight recovery below normal lows around 30°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from official archives, such as quality-controlled adjustments to Buckley Space Force Base readings used for market resolution, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$65,646終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 70-71°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by verified National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN), where hourly METARs recorded a peak of 70°F during mid-afternoon under sunny skies and breezy north-northeast winds averaging 10-11 mph. This aligns precisely with pre-event GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a lingering high-pressure ridge following March's record warmth, with no overnight recovery below normal lows around 30°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from official archives, such as quality-controlled adjustments to Buckley Space Force Base readings used for market resolution, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$65,646終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 70-71°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by verified National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN), where hourly METARs recorded a peak of 70°F during mid-afternoon under sunny skies and breezy north-northeast winds averaging 10-11 mph. This aligns precisely with pre-event GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a lingering high-pressure ridge following March's record warmth, with no overnight recovery below normal lows around 30°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from official archives, such as quality-controlled adjustments to Buckley Space Force Base readings used for market resolution, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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