Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4, with implied probabilities clustering around 26–28°C due to converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent CMA updates project sunny conditions and highs near 28°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, building on today's 25°C peak amid a warming spring trend 2–4°C above early-April climatological averages of 21–24°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud development capping solar insolation at 26–27°C versus sustained clear skies pushing to 28°C, influenced by light southerly winds advecting warm, humid air into the basin. Official station measurements and hourly CMA observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 20%
29°C 14%
$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/04/04
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
20%
29°C
14%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 20%
29°C 14%
$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/04/04
22°C or below
$3,367 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,352 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,506 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,004 Vol.
7%
26°C
$712 Vol.
27%
27°C
$707 Vol.
27%
28°C
$669 Vol.
20%
29°C
$698 Vol.
14%
30°C
$510 Vol.
3%
31°C
$578 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$775 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4, with implied probabilities clustering around 26–28°C due to converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent CMA updates project sunny conditions and highs near 28°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, building on today's 25°C peak amid a warming spring trend 2–4°C above early-April climatological averages of 21–24°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud development capping solar insolation at 26–27°C versus sustained clear skies pushing to 28°C, influenced by light southerly winds advecting warm, humid air into the basin. Official station measurements and hourly CMA observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4, with implied probabilities clustering around 26–28°C due to converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent CMA updates project sunny conditions and highs near 28°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, building on today's 25°C peak amid a warming spring trend 2–4°C above early-April climatological averages of 21–24°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud development capping solar insolation at 26–27°C versus sustained clear skies pushing to 28°C, influenced by light southerly winds advecting warm, humid air into the basin. Official station measurements and hourly CMA observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4, with implied probabilities clustering around 26–28°C due to converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent CMA updates project sunny conditions and highs near 28°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, building on today's 25°C peak amid a warming spring trend 2–4°C above early-April climatological averages of 21–24°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud development capping solar insolation at 26–27°C versus sustained clear skies pushing to 28°C, influenced by light southerly winds advecting warm, humid air into the basin. Official station measurements and hourly CMA observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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