Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5 clustering at 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes hold over 60% implied probability amid tight competition. This reflects early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin, where seasonal warming is tempered by frequent stratiform clouds, light precipitation from passing fronts, and the city's humid subtropical climate prone to foggy mornings limiting diurnal heating. Historical April averages hover around 23°C daytime highs per China Meteorological Administration data, but current model spreads of ±1-2°C stem from uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and upper-air trough progression. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and the next 12Z ECMWF update, which could refine land surface temperature projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
23°C 24%
22°C 21%
21°C 19%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
21%
23°C
24%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 24%
22°C 21%
21°C 19%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,616 Vol.
1%
19°C
$488 Vol.
4%
20°C
$471 Vol.
6%
21°C
$454 Vol.
19%
22°C
$401 Vol.
21%
23°C
$312 Vol.
24%
24°C
$307 Vol.
10%
25°C
$428 Vol.
4%
26°C
$752 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$378 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5 clustering at 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes hold over 60% implied probability amid tight competition. This reflects early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin, where seasonal warming is tempered by frequent stratiform clouds, light precipitation from passing fronts, and the city's humid subtropical climate prone to foggy mornings limiting diurnal heating. Historical April averages hover around 23°C daytime highs per China Meteorological Administration data, but current model spreads of ±1-2°C stem from uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and upper-air trough progression. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and the next 12Z ECMWF update, which could refine land surface temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
音量
$6,652終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5 clustering at 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes hold over 60% implied probability amid tight competition. This reflects early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin, where seasonal warming is tempered by frequent stratiform clouds, light precipitation from passing fronts, and the city's humid subtropical climate prone to foggy mornings limiting diurnal heating. Historical April averages hover around 23°C daytime highs per China Meteorological Administration data, but current model spreads of ±1-2°C stem from uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and upper-air trough progression. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and the next 12Z ECMWF update, which could refine land surface temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,652終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5 clustering at 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes hold over 60% implied probability amid tight competition. This reflects early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin, where seasonal warming is tempered by frequent stratiform clouds, light precipitation from passing fronts, and the city's humid subtropical climate prone to foggy mornings limiting diurnal heating. Historical April averages hover around 23°C daytime highs per China Meteorological Administration data, but current model spreads of ±1-2°C stem from uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and upper-air trough progression. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and the next 12Z ECMWF update, which could refine land surface temperature projections.
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