Korea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 47%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
11°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
5°C or below
2%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
47%
15°C or higher 47%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
11°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
5°C or below
$235 Vol.
2%
6°C
$255 Vol.
1%
7°C
$443 Vol.
3%
8°C
$13 Vol.
2%
9°C
$9 Vol.
2%
10°C
$5 Vol.
3%
11°C
$1 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$3 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C or higher
$39 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$1,001終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,001終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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