Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering implied probabilities around 20–23°C amid an ongoing autumn cooling trend following warmer early-month highs near 25°C. Recent weak cold fronts have introduced southerly winds and partial cloud cover, capping daytime peaks and favoring 20–21°C outcomes at 25.5% each, while slightly clearer skies or reduced mixing could push toward 22°C (29%) or 23°C+ (29%). Climatological April averages hover at 21–22°C maximums per historical SMN data, but 4-day forecast divergence—typically 2–3°C spread—stems from variable low-level moisture and jet stream positioning. Watch daily SMN updates and new model runs through April 6 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 8?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 8?
23°C or higher 30%
21°C 20%
22°C 18%
20°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
13°C or below
5%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
17%
21°C
20%
22°C
18%
23°C or higher
30%
23°C or higher 30%
21°C 20%
22°C 18%
20°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
13°C or below
$30 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1 Vol.
18%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering implied probabilities around 20–23°C amid an ongoing autumn cooling trend following warmer early-month highs near 25°C. Recent weak cold fronts have introduced southerly winds and partial cloud cover, capping daytime peaks and favoring 20–21°C outcomes at 25.5% each, while slightly clearer skies or reduced mixing could push toward 22°C (29%) or 23°C+ (29%). Climatological April averages hover at 21–22°C maximums per historical SMN data, but 4-day forecast divergence—typically 2–3°C spread—stems from variable low-level moisture and jet stream positioning. Watch daily SMN updates and new model runs through April 6 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$31終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering implied probabilities around 20–23°C amid an ongoing autumn cooling trend following warmer early-month highs near 25°C. Recent weak cold fronts have introduced southerly winds and partial cloud cover, capping daytime peaks and favoring 20–21°C outcomes at 25.5% each, while slightly clearer skies or reduced mixing could push toward 22°C (29%) or 23°C+ (29%). Climatological April averages hover at 21–22°C maximums per historical SMN data, but 4-day forecast divergence—typically 2–3°C spread—stems from variable low-level moisture and jet stream positioning. Watch daily SMN updates and new model runs through April 6 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$31終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering implied probabilities around 20–23°C amid an ongoing autumn cooling trend following warmer early-month highs near 25°C. Recent weak cold fronts have introduced southerly winds and partial cloud cover, capping daytime peaks and favoring 20–21°C outcomes at 25.5% each, while slightly clearer skies or reduced mixing could push toward 22°C (29%) or 23°C+ (29%). Climatological April averages hover at 21–22°C maximums per historical SMN data, but 4-day forecast divergence—typically 2–3°C spread—stems from variable low-level moisture and jet stream positioning. Watch daily SMN updates and new model runs through April 6 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問