Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,139 Vol.
$21,139 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,139 Vol.
$21,139 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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