Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 16–17°C at the official observing station, likely Xujiahui or Pudong Airport, driven by lingering effects of a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought cloudy skies, northerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating to 16–17°C earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflects this model mean amid persistent low-level cloud cover reducing solar insolation, though divergence in guidance creates tight odds: some runs show partial clearing allowing 23°C+ peaks, while others predict overcast conditions capping at 13–15°C. April climatology averages 18°C highs with high variability from passing fronts; new 00Z/12Z model updates and China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary layer stability before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
17°C 31%
16°C 28%
15°C 25%
18°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
13°C or below
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
31%
18°C
17%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
4%
17°C 31%
16°C 28%
15°C 25%
18°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C or higher
$25 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 16–17°C at the official observing station, likely Xujiahui or Pudong Airport, driven by lingering effects of a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought cloudy skies, northerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating to 16–17°C earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflects this model mean amid persistent low-level cloud cover reducing solar insolation, though divergence in guidance creates tight odds: some runs show partial clearing allowing 23°C+ peaks, while others predict overcast conditions capping at 13–15°C. April climatology averages 18°C highs with high variability from passing fronts; new 00Z/12Z model updates and China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary layer stability before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$25終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 16–17°C at the official observing station, likely Xujiahui or Pudong Airport, driven by lingering effects of a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought cloudy skies, northerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating to 16–17°C earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflects this model mean amid persistent low-level cloud cover reducing solar insolation, though divergence in guidance creates tight odds: some runs show partial clearing allowing 23°C+ peaks, while others predict overcast conditions capping at 13–15°C. April climatology averages 18°C highs with high variability from passing fronts; new 00Z/12Z model updates and China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary layer stability before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$25終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 16–17°C at the official observing station, likely Xujiahui or Pudong Airport, driven by lingering effects of a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought cloudy skies, northerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating to 16–17°C earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflects this model mean amid persistent low-level cloud cover reducing solar insolation, though divergence in guidance creates tight odds: some runs show partial clearing allowing 23°C+ peaks, while others predict overcast conditions capping at 13–15°C. April climatology averages 18°C highs with high variability from passing fronts; new 00Z/12Z model updates and China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and boundary layer stability before resolution.
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