Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Beijing's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 21–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly air flows and light winds, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes at 28–31% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—potentially capping highs at 21°C if overcast, or allowing 23°C under clearer skies—and slight model spread reflecting springtime uncertainty in jet stream positioning. Historical early April averages hover near 20°C, with recent CMA updates showing a warming trend from cooler days earlier this week. Watch for tomorrow's 12Z model runs and CMA advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 8?
22°C 25%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
17°C or below
2%
18°C
13%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
23%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
22°C 25%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
17°C or below
$63 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$20 Vol.
13%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$99 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Beijing's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 21–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly air flows and light winds, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes at 28–31% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—potentially capping highs at 21°C if overcast, or allowing 23°C under clearer skies—and slight model spread reflecting springtime uncertainty in jet stream positioning. Historical early April averages hover near 20°C, with recent CMA updates showing a warming trend from cooler days earlier this week. Watch for tomorrow's 12Z model runs and CMA advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$162終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Beijing's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 21–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly air flows and light winds, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes at 28–31% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—potentially capping highs at 21°C if overcast, or allowing 23°C under clearer skies—and slight model spread reflecting springtime uncertainty in jet stream positioning. Historical early April averages hover near 20°C, with recent CMA updates showing a warming trend from cooler days earlier this week. Watch for tomorrow's 12Z model runs and CMA advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$162終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Beijing's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 21–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly air flows and light winds, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes at 28–31% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—potentially capping highs at 21°C if overcast, or allowing 23°C under clearer skies—and slight model spread reflecting springtime uncertainty in jet stream positioning. Historical early April averages hover near 20°C, with recent CMA updates showing a warming trend from cooler days earlier this week. Watch for tomorrow's 12Z model runs and CMA advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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