National Weather Service forecasts updated early April 2 position Miami's highest temperature on April 4 in the lower 80s°F, with mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus toward 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%). This aligns with early April climatological normals around 82°F at Miami International Airport, amid a pattern of seasonably warm conditions following drier-than-normal winter trends per NOAA outlooks. Recent model consensus shows minimal intensification risk from Atlantic high pressure steering, though slight shower chances could cap highs; watch for afternoon updates from NWS Miami as uncertainty narrows with proximity to the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
$15,854 Vol.
$15,854 Vol.
2026/04/04
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
$15,854 Vol.
$15,854 Vol.
2026/04/04
71°F or below
$1,530 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$937 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$993 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,549 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$2,529 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$1,553 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$2,751 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$822 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$915 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,174 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts updated early April 2 position Miami's highest temperature on April 4 in the lower 80s°F, with mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus toward 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%). This aligns with early April climatological normals around 82°F at Miami International Airport, amid a pattern of seasonably warm conditions following drier-than-normal winter trends per NOAA outlooks. Recent model consensus shows minimal intensification risk from Atlantic high pressure steering, though slight shower chances could cap highs; watch for afternoon updates from NWS Miami as uncertainty narrows with proximity to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
音量
$15,854終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts updated early April 2 position Miami's highest temperature on April 4 in the lower 80s°F, with mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus toward 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%). This aligns with early April climatological normals around 82°F at Miami International Airport, amid a pattern of seasonably warm conditions following drier-than-normal winter trends per NOAA outlooks. Recent model consensus shows minimal intensification risk from Atlantic high pressure steering, though slight shower chances could cap highs; watch for afternoon updates from NWS Miami as uncertainty narrows with proximity to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,854終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts updated early April 2 position Miami's highest temperature on April 4 in the lower 80s°F, with mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus toward 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%). This aligns with early April climatological normals around 82°F at Miami International Airport, amid a pattern of seasonably warm conditions following drier-than-normal winter trends per NOAA outlooks. Recent model consensus shows minimal intensification risk from Atlantic high pressure steering, though slight shower chances could cap highs; watch for afternoon updates from NWS Miami as uncertainty narrows with proximity to the event.
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