**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a consensus daytime high of 6–9°C in Moscow on April 6, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered outcomes around 7°C, as a weak cold front ushers cooler Arctic air masses southward with northerly winds at 10–15 km/h limiting insolation.** This follows a sharp cooldown from early April's anomalous warmth exceeding 15°C on April 4, per Roshydromet observations, with increased cloud cover (70–90% probability) and scattered showers suppressing temperatures below climatological early-April averages of 8–10°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing: clearer afternoon skies could push peaks to 9°C, while persistent overcast favors 6°C or lower. Updated runs expected April 5 morning; resolution based on official Vnukovo Airport measurements. (112 words)
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
5°C or below
4%
6°C
14%
7°C
29%
8°C
19%
9°C
18%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
5°C or below
$622 Vol.
4%
6°C
$321 Vol.
14%
7°C
$317 Vol.
29%
8°C
$401 Vol.
19%
9°C
$441 Vol.
18%
10°C
$301 Vol.
5%
11°C
$272 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,139 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,395 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,521 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$795 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a consensus daytime high of 6–9°C in Moscow on April 6, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered outcomes around 7°C, as a weak cold front ushers cooler Arctic air masses southward with northerly winds at 10–15 km/h limiting insolation.** This follows a sharp cooldown from early April's anomalous warmth exceeding 15°C on April 4, per Roshydromet observations, with increased cloud cover (70–90% probability) and scattered showers suppressing temperatures below climatological early-April averages of 8–10°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing: clearer afternoon skies could push peaks to 9°C, while persistent overcast favors 6°C or lower. Updated runs expected April 5 morning; resolution based on official Vnukovo Airport measurements. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
音量
$7,472終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a consensus daytime high of 6–9°C in Moscow on April 6, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered outcomes around 7°C, as a weak cold front ushers cooler Arctic air masses southward with northerly winds at 10–15 km/h limiting insolation.** This follows a sharp cooldown from early April's anomalous warmth exceeding 15°C on April 4, per Roshydromet observations, with increased cloud cover (70–90% probability) and scattered showers suppressing temperatures below climatological early-April averages of 8–10°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing: clearer afternoon skies could push peaks to 9°C, while persistent overcast favors 6°C or lower. Updated runs expected April 5 morning; resolution based on official Vnukovo Airport measurements. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,472終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a consensus daytime high of 6–9°C in Moscow on April 6, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered outcomes around 7°C, as a weak cold front ushers cooler Arctic air masses southward with northerly winds at 10–15 km/h limiting insolation.** This follows a sharp cooldown from early April's anomalous warmth exceeding 15°C on April 4, per Roshydromet observations, with increased cloud cover (70–90% probability) and scattered showers suppressing temperatures below climatological early-April averages of 8–10°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing: clearer afternoon skies could push peaks to 9°C, while persistent overcast favors 6°C or lower. Updated runs expected April 5 morning; resolution based on official Vnukovo Airport measurements. (112 words)
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問