Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 32°C at 40.5% implied probability for April 4 in Singapore, reflecting the Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 24-hour forecast projecting maximums up to 35°C amid ongoing afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions. Recent advisories highlight increased shower activity in early April—following the wettest March on record—likely capping peak heating through cloud cover and high humidity (55-90%), despite potential for brief sunny intervals boosting urban heat island effects. Model consensus and historical April climatology (average daily high ~31.5°C) position 31°C (26%) and 33°C (20.5%) as close contenders, with lower odds for extremes due to shower timing uncertainty. Watch for updated forecasts this afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 9%
$22,222 Vol.
$22,222 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 9%
$22,222 Vol.
$22,222 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 32°C at 40.5% implied probability for April 4 in Singapore, reflecting the Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 24-hour forecast projecting maximums up to 35°C amid ongoing afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions. Recent advisories highlight increased shower activity in early April—following the wettest March on record—likely capping peak heating through cloud cover and high humidity (55-90%), despite potential for brief sunny intervals boosting urban heat island effects. Model consensus and historical April climatology (average daily high ~31.5°C) position 31°C (26%) and 33°C (20.5%) as close contenders, with lower odds for extremes due to shower timing uncertainty. Watch for updated forecasts this afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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