Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C through mid-April amid inter-monsoon onset, but with thundery afternoon showers over parts of the island on most days—driving trader consensus toward moderated peaks at 31°C (33.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.5%). Late March's drier warmth, peaking at 35.4°C on March 30 amid lingering northeast monsoon, has given way to increased cloudiness that curbs insolation and peak heating, aligning with April's climatological average high of around 31°C. The razor-thin split reflects uncertainty in shower timing and spatial coverage: early or widespread clouds favor 31°C, while delayed or patchy ones tilt toward 32°C or higher. Daily updates from MSS will refine this ahead of resolution based on the highest reading across monitoring stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 35%
31°C 28%
33°C 26%
34°C 8%
$12,056 Vol.
$12,056 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
28%
32°C
35%
33°C
26%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 35%
31°C 28%
33°C 26%
34°C 8%
$12,056 Vol.
$12,056 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
28%
32°C
35%
33°C
26%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C through mid-April amid inter-monsoon onset, but with thundery afternoon showers over parts of the island on most days—driving trader consensus toward moderated peaks at 31°C (33.5% implied probability) and 32°C (32.5%). Late March's drier warmth, peaking at 35.4°C on March 30 amid lingering northeast monsoon, has given way to increased cloudiness that curbs insolation and peak heating, aligning with April's climatological average high of around 31°C. The razor-thin split reflects uncertainty in shower timing and spatial coverage: early or widespread clouds favor 31°C, while delayed or patchy ones tilt toward 32°C or higher. Daily updates from MSS will refine this ahead of resolution based on the highest reading across monitoring stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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