Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 27°C high for Shenzhen on April 8 amid thundershowers, driving trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 29% implied probabilities, closely trailed by 29–31°C+ outcomes at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models, spanning 26–30°C due to uncertain cloud cover, convective activity, and southerly sea breezes enhancing humidity that could cap peaks or enable brief spikes with partial clearing. Recent rainy conditions limited April 4–5 highs to 25–26°C, but the climatological April mean maximum of 26.2°C supports this tight range. Daily CMA bulletins and new model runs through April 7 will clarify thunderstorm intensity ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
21°C or below
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
11%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C or higher
26%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 27°C high for Shenzhen on April 8 amid thundershowers, driving trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 29% implied probabilities, closely trailed by 29–31°C+ outcomes at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models, spanning 26–30°C due to uncertain cloud cover, convective activity, and southerly sea breezes enhancing humidity that could cap peaks or enable brief spikes with partial clearing. Recent rainy conditions limited April 4–5 highs to 25–26°C, but the climatological April mean maximum of 26.2°C supports this tight range. Daily CMA bulletins and new model runs through April 7 will clarify thunderstorm intensity ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 27°C high for Shenzhen on April 8 amid thundershowers, driving trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 29% implied probabilities, closely trailed by 29–31°C+ outcomes at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models, spanning 26–30°C due to uncertain cloud cover, convective activity, and southerly sea breezes enhancing humidity that could cap peaks or enable brief spikes with partial clearing. Recent rainy conditions limited April 4–5 highs to 25–26°C, but the climatological April mean maximum of 26.2°C supports this tight range. Daily CMA bulletins and new model runs through April 7 will clarify thunderstorm intensity ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 27°C high for Shenzhen on April 8 amid thundershowers, driving trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 29% implied probabilities, closely trailed by 29–31°C+ outcomes at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models, spanning 26–30°C due to uncertain cloud cover, convective activity, and southerly sea breezes enhancing humidity that could cap peaks or enable brief spikes with partial clearing. Recent rainy conditions limited April 4–5 highs to 25–26°C, but the climatological April mean maximum of 26.2°C supports this tight range. Daily CMA bulletins and new model runs through April 7 will clarify thunderstorm intensity ahead of official station resolution.
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