Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月7日の深センの最高気温は？
4月7日の深センの最高気温は？
28°C 26%
31℃ 25%
27℃ 20%
29°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
22℃以下
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
18%
26℃
18%
27℃
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
19%
30℃
17%
31℃
25%
32℃以上
10%
28°C 26%
31℃ 25%
27℃ 20%
29°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
22℃以下
$180 Vol.
1%
23°C
$289 Vol.
1%
24℃
$278 Vol.
1%
25℃
$1 Vol.
18%
26℃
$0 Vol.
18%
27℃
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$11 Vol.
19%
30℃
$10 Vol.
17%
31℃
$9 Vol.
25%
32℃以上
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$779終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$779終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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