Latest short-term forecasts from sources like CustomWeather and global models indicate Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 will hover around 26-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 27°C (26%), 26°C (25.5%), and 28°C (22.5%) leading. This follows a warm April 3 high near 29°C but a cooler April 4 dip to 23-24°C from passing showers and overcast skies, with models now projecting partial clearing and southerly winds to boost daytime maxima amid high humidity (70-80%). Differentiating factors include model spreads on precipitation timing—GFS leans drier for higher temps, ECMWF wetter for moderation—plus urban heat island effects and sea breeze intensity. New ensemble runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 28%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 28%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$941 Vol.
1%
22°C
$709 Vol.
1%
23°C
$578 Vol.
1%
24°C
$456 Vol.
4%
25°C
$356 Vol.
10%
26°C
$456 Vol.
26%
27°C
$416 Vol.
28%
28°C
$398 Vol.
23%
29°C
$648 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$613 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-term forecasts from sources like CustomWeather and global models indicate Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 will hover around 26-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 27°C (26%), 26°C (25.5%), and 28°C (22.5%) leading. This follows a warm April 3 high near 29°C but a cooler April 4 dip to 23-24°C from passing showers and overcast skies, with models now projecting partial clearing and southerly winds to boost daytime maxima amid high humidity (70-80%). Differentiating factors include model spreads on precipitation timing—GFS leans drier for higher temps, ECMWF wetter for moderation—plus urban heat island effects and sea breeze intensity. New ensemble runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
音量
$6,604終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-term forecasts from sources like CustomWeather and global models indicate Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 will hover around 26-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 27°C (26%), 26°C (25.5%), and 28°C (22.5%) leading. This follows a warm April 3 high near 29°C but a cooler April 4 dip to 23-24°C from passing showers and overcast skies, with models now projecting partial clearing and southerly winds to boost daytime maxima amid high humidity (70-80%). Differentiating factors include model spreads on precipitation timing—GFS leans drier for higher temps, ECMWF wetter for moderation—plus urban heat island effects and sea breeze intensity. New ensemble runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,604終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETLatest short-term forecasts from sources like CustomWeather and global models indicate Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 will hover around 26-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 27°C (26%), 26°C (25.5%), and 28°C (22.5%) leading. This follows a warm April 3 high near 29°C but a cooler April 4 dip to 23-24°C from passing showers and overcast skies, with models now projecting partial clearing and southerly winds to boost daytime maxima amid high humidity (70-80%). Differentiating factors include model spreads on precipitation timing—GFS leans drier for higher temps, ECMWF wetter for moderation—plus urban heat island effects and sea breeze intensity. New ensemble runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.
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