Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (42%) and 30°C (33%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 3, driven by split forecasts from leading models amid inherent short-term uncertainty in afternoon peak heating. Climatempo projects a 30°C maximum under partly sunny morning conditions turning to afternoon showers (82% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 29°C with humid variable cloudiness and possible thunderstorms; timeanddate aligns near 29°C. An upper-level ridge fosters subsidence and warmth above April climatological averages (typically 25–27°C), boosted by urban heat island effects, but sea breeze incursions and convective activity could cap peaks differently. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected today may refine trader sentiment before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
29°C 42%
30°C 33%
28°C 13%
31°C 9%
$21,440 Vol.
$21,440 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
42%
30°C
33%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 33%
28°C 13%
31°C 9%
$21,440 Vol.
$21,440 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C or below
$2,868 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,924 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,320 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3,560 Vol.
13%
29°C
$2,002 Vol.
42%
30°C
$1,909 Vol.
33%
31°C
$2,469 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,057 Vol.
1%
33°C
$724 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (42%) and 30°C (33%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 3, driven by split forecasts from leading models amid inherent short-term uncertainty in afternoon peak heating. Climatempo projects a 30°C maximum under partly sunny morning conditions turning to afternoon showers (82% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 29°C with humid variable cloudiness and possible thunderstorms; timeanddate aligns near 29°C. An upper-level ridge fosters subsidence and warmth above April climatological averages (typically 25–27°C), boosted by urban heat island effects, but sea breeze incursions and convective activity could cap peaks differently. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected today may refine trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
音量
$21,440終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (42%) and 30°C (33%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 3, driven by split forecasts from leading models amid inherent short-term uncertainty in afternoon peak heating. Climatempo projects a 30°C maximum under partly sunny morning conditions turning to afternoon showers (82% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 29°C with humid variable cloudiness and possible thunderstorms; timeanddate aligns near 29°C. An upper-level ridge fosters subsidence and warmth above April climatological averages (typically 25–27°C), boosted by urban heat island effects, but sea breeze incursions and convective activity could cap peaks differently. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected today may refine trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$21,440終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (42%) and 30°C (33%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 3, driven by split forecasts from leading models amid inherent short-term uncertainty in afternoon peak heating. Climatempo projects a 30°C maximum under partly sunny morning conditions turning to afternoon showers (82% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 29°C with humid variable cloudiness and possible thunderstorms; timeanddate aligns near 29°C. An upper-level ridge fosters subsidence and warmth above April climatological averages (typically 25–27°C), boosted by urban heat island effects, but sea breeze incursions and convective activity could cap peaks differently. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected today may refine trader sentiment before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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