Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (34%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (20.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this narrow 28-30°C range amid persistent subtropical high pressure fostering above-average autumn warmth—historical early April averages hover around 26°C at INMET's official stations. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, which could enhance low-level moisture and cumulus cloud development to cap peaks at 28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing toward 30°C; recent April 1 high of 27°C and dry conditions underscore the mild trend, with new INMET/CPTEC updates and 12z model runs expected to refine uncertainty before resolution based on maximum air temperature at Congonhas Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 4?
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
25°C or below
$941 Vol.
1%
26°C
$839 Vol.
4%
27°C
$944 Vol.
13%
28°C
$908 Vol.
25%
29°C
$971 Vol.
32%
30°C
$747 Vol.
21%
31°C
$796 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,338 Vol.
1%
33°C
$885 Vol.
1%
34°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (34%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (20.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this narrow 28-30°C range amid persistent subtropical high pressure fostering above-average autumn warmth—historical early April averages hover around 26°C at INMET's official stations. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, which could enhance low-level moisture and cumulus cloud development to cap peaks at 28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing toward 30°C; recent April 1 high of 27°C and dry conditions underscore the mild trend, with new INMET/CPTEC updates and 12z model runs expected to refine uncertainty before resolution based on maximum air temperature at Congonhas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
音量
$9,639終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (34%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (20.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this narrow 28-30°C range amid persistent subtropical high pressure fostering above-average autumn warmth—historical early April averages hover around 26°C at INMET's official stations. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, which could enhance low-level moisture and cumulus cloud development to cap peaks at 28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing toward 30°C; recent April 1 high of 27°C and dry conditions underscore the mild trend, with new INMET/CPTEC updates and 12z model runs expected to refine uncertainty before resolution based on maximum air temperature at Congonhas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$9,639終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:20 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (34%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (20.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this narrow 28-30°C range amid persistent subtropical high pressure fostering above-average autumn warmth—historical early April averages hover around 26°C at INMET's official stations. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, which could enhance low-level moisture and cumulus cloud development to cap peaks at 28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing toward 30°C; recent April 1 high of 27°C and dry conditions underscore the mild trend, with new INMET/CPTEC updates and 12z model runs expected to refine uncertainty before resolution based on maximum air temperature at Congonhas Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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