Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?
22°C or higher 81%
19°C 25%
20°C 18%
21°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
25%
20°C
18%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 81%
19°C 25%
20°C 18%
21°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
12°C or below
$188 Vol.
1%
13°C
$165 Vol.
1%
14°C
$141 Vol.
1%
15°C
$250 Vol.
1%
16°C
$250 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3 Vol.
8%
18°C
$3 Vol.
8%
19°C
$8 Vol.
25%
20°C
$3 Vol.
18%
21°C
$3 Vol.
15%
22°C or higher
$142 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$1,159終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,159終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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