Forecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
27°C 26%
26°C 22%
28°C 20%
25°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
26%
28°C
20%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 26%
26°C 22%
28°C 20%
25°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
$770 Vol.
1%
21°C
$962 Vol.
1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
3%
23°C
$146 Vol.
7%
24°C
$81 Vol.
9%
25°C
$74 Vol.
12%
26°C
$156 Vol.
22%
27°C
$141 Vol.
26%
28°C
$119 Vol.
20%
29°C
$209 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$342 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
音量
$3,120終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,120終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETForecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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