Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
73°F or below
$788 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$305 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$377 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$350 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$506 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$955 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$312 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$216 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$254 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$330 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$4,699終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,699終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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