BMKG's latest forecast for Jakarta on April 3 drives trader uncertainty, predicting mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances in the afternoon and evening—particularly heavier in southern areas—potentially capping the daily high near 32°C despite tropical diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. April climatology shows average highs around 32°C, with historical ranges spanning 28–37°C influenced by cloud cover, sea breezes, and lingering rainy season moisture as Indonesia transitions toward an early dry season amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Market-implied even odds across outcomes reflect this variability, hinging on real-time observations at official stations like Kemayoran; peak temperatures typically occur midday, with updates expected hourly through sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C or higher
26%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest forecast for Jakarta on April 3 drives trader uncertainty, predicting mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances in the afternoon and evening—particularly heavier in southern areas—potentially capping the daily high near 32°C despite tropical diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. April climatology shows average highs around 32°C, with historical ranges spanning 28–37°C influenced by cloud cover, sea breezes, and lingering rainy season moisture as Indonesia transitions toward an early dry season amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Market-implied even odds across outcomes reflect this variability, hinging on real-time observations at official stations like Kemayoran; peak temperatures typically occur midday, with updates expected hourly through sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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