Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts show Seoul's April 6 high temperature clustering around 11-14°C, with trader consensus reflecting model spread on an approaching frontal system bringing cloud cover and possible light showers that limit solar insolation. Recent ensemble runs from the past 48 hours emphasize slightly cooler outcomes near 12°C due to northerly winds channeling cooler air from the continent, amid early April climatology averaging 13-15°C highs but with high day-to-day variability (±3°C historically). Key differentiators include precipitation timing—earlier clearing favors 14°C+, while persistent overcast supports 11°C—pending daily KMA updates through April 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
11°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
16%
12°C
22%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
13%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
3%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
11°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
7°C or below
$880 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$821 Vol.
1%
9°C
$663 Vol.
3%
10°C
$703 Vol.
6%
11°C
$567 Vol.
16%
12°C
$863 Vol.
22%
13°C
$606 Vol.
20%
14°C
$567 Vol.
19%
15°C
$646 Vol.
13%
16°C
$714 Vol.
14%
17°C or higher
$813 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts show Seoul's April 6 high temperature clustering around 11-14°C, with trader consensus reflecting model spread on an approaching frontal system bringing cloud cover and possible light showers that limit solar insolation. Recent ensemble runs from the past 48 hours emphasize slightly cooler outcomes near 12°C due to northerly winds channeling cooler air from the continent, amid early April climatology averaging 13-15°C highs but with high day-to-day variability (±3°C historically). Key differentiators include precipitation timing—earlier clearing favors 14°C+, while persistent overcast supports 11°C—pending daily KMA updates through April 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$7,773終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts show Seoul's April 6 high temperature clustering around 11-14°C, with trader consensus reflecting model spread on an approaching frontal system bringing cloud cover and possible light showers that limit solar insolation. Recent ensemble runs from the past 48 hours emphasize slightly cooler outcomes near 12°C due to northerly winds channeling cooler air from the continent, amid early April climatology averaging 13-15°C highs but with high day-to-day variability (±3°C historically). Key differentiators include precipitation timing—earlier clearing favors 14°C+, while persistent overcast supports 11°C—pending daily KMA updates through April 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,773終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts show Seoul's April 6 high temperature clustering around 11-14°C, with trader consensus reflecting model spread on an approaching frontal system bringing cloud cover and possible light showers that limit solar insolation. Recent ensemble runs from the past 48 hours emphasize slightly cooler outcomes near 12°C due to northerly winds channeling cooler air from the continent, amid early April climatology averaging 13-15°C highs but with high day-to-day variability (±3°C historically). Key differentiators include precipitation timing—earlier clearing favors 14°C+, while persistent overcast supports 11°C—pending daily KMA updates through April 5.
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