Divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting a 23°C peak under partly cloudy skies, clash with international models like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and AccuWeather (26°C hazy sun), fueling trader consensus around 23–25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability modulating solar insolation during peak afternoon heating (2–4 p.m. local time), light southerly winds (5–7 km/h) enabling mild warm advection, and frontal boundary influences from recent overcast conditions today (April 3 high near 21–22°C). Early April climatology averages 20–22°C highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show 21–27°C spreads amid inherent diurnal uncertainties; watch evening CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
22°C 19.0%
25°C 18%
$12,355 Vol.
$12,355 Vol.
2026/04/04
21°C or below
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
22°C 19.0%
25°C 18%
$12,355 Vol.
$12,355 Vol.
2026/04/04
21°C or below
$3,451 Vol.
3%
22°C
$951 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,045 Vol.
31%
24°C
$1,125 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,017 Vol.
18%
26°C
$758 Vol.
6%
27°C
$644 Vol.
2%
28°C
$725 Vol.
1%
29°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$682 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting a 23°C peak under partly cloudy skies, clash with international models like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and AccuWeather (26°C hazy sun), fueling trader consensus around 23–25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability modulating solar insolation during peak afternoon heating (2–4 p.m. local time), light southerly winds (5–7 km/h) enabling mild warm advection, and frontal boundary influences from recent overcast conditions today (April 3 high near 21–22°C). Early April climatology averages 20–22°C highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show 21–27°C spreads amid inherent diurnal uncertainties; watch evening CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
音量
$12,355終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting a 23°C peak under partly cloudy skies, clash with international models like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and AccuWeather (26°C hazy sun), fueling trader consensus around 23–25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability modulating solar insolation during peak afternoon heating (2–4 p.m. local time), light southerly winds (5–7 km/h) enabling mild warm advection, and frontal boundary influences from recent overcast conditions today (April 3 high near 21–22°C). Early April climatology averages 20–22°C highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show 21–27°C spreads amid inherent diurnal uncertainties; watch evening CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,355終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETDivergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting a 23°C peak under partly cloudy skies, clash with international models like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and AccuWeather (26°C hazy sun), fueling trader consensus around 23–25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability modulating solar insolation during peak afternoon heating (2–4 p.m. local time), light southerly winds (5–7 km/h) enabling mild warm advection, and frontal boundary influences from recent overcast conditions today (April 3 high near 21–22°C). Early April climatology averages 20–22°C highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show 21–27°C spreads amid inherent diurnal uncertainties; watch evening CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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