Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 5, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C (21.5%) and 24°C (20.5%), with a tail toward 25°C and higher. Early April climatology shows average highs around 22°C amid rising spring warmth, but current upper-air patterns favor a high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating under partly cloudy skies, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud evolution and southerly flow strength, which could suppress maxima below 24°C or enhance them via drier conditions; final short-range model updates within 24 hours will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
22%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
16%
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
$396 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$585 Vol.
1%
19°C
$123 Vol.
1%
20°C
$153 Vol.
2%
21°C
$217 Vol.
3%
22°C
$190 Vol.
6%
23°C
$272 Vol.
16%
24°C
$285 Vol.
20%
25°C
$197 Vol.
22%
26°C
$304 Vol.
16%
27°C or higher
$414 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 5, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C (21.5%) and 24°C (20.5%), with a tail toward 25°C and higher. Early April climatology shows average highs around 22°C amid rising spring warmth, but current upper-air patterns favor a high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating under partly cloudy skies, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud evolution and southerly flow strength, which could suppress maxima below 24°C or enhance them via drier conditions; final short-range model updates within 24 hours will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
音量
$3,134終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 5, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C (21.5%) and 24°C (20.5%), with a tail toward 25°C and higher. Early April climatology shows average highs around 22°C amid rising spring warmth, but current upper-air patterns favor a high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating under partly cloudy skies, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud evolution and southerly flow strength, which could suppress maxima below 24°C or enhance them via drier conditions; final short-range model updates within 24 hours will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,134終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRecent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 5, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C (21.5%) and 24°C (20.5%), with a tail toward 25°C and higher. Early April climatology shows average highs around 22°C amid rising spring warmth, but current upper-air patterns favor a high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating under partly cloudy skies, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud evolution and southerly flow strength, which could suppress maxima below 24°C or enhance them via drier conditions; final short-range model updates within 24 hours will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
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