Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating above seasonal norms. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23-26°C outcomes due to ensemble spread reflecting uncertainties in high-cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model divergences on peak afternoon heating. Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance aligns at 24°C, matching the market leader, while historical early-April averages hover near 17°C. Watch for today's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations, which measure max temperature at Milan Linate station for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
24°C 28%
23°C 20%
22°C 13%
25°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
28%
25°C
13%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
10%
24°C 28%
23°C 20%
22°C 13%
25°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
28%
25°C
13%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating above seasonal norms. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23-26°C outcomes due to ensemble spread reflecting uncertainties in high-cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model divergences on peak afternoon heating. Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance aligns at 24°C, matching the market leader, while historical early-April averages hover near 17°C. Watch for today's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations, which measure max temperature at Milan Linate station for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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