Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 4, with 36.5% implied probability for 21°C edging out 28% for 22°C and 23% for 23°C or higher, driven by ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converging on 21-23°C amid building high pressure. After a recent cold snap with rain and snow earlier in the week—evident in April 1 highs around 17°C—a subtropical ridge now promises abundant sunshine, low cloud cover (0-10%), and light winds, boosting above-climatological averages (typically 16-18°C in early April). Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads in peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing, and any transient high clouds, with final hourly updates from NOAA and Italian services expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 21%
20°C 11%
$15,315 Vol.
$15,315 Vol.
2026/04/04
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
21%
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 21%
20°C 11%
$15,315 Vol.
$15,315 Vol.
2026/04/04
13°C or below
$2,389 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,335 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,744 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,195 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,182 Vol.
4%
20°C
$1,030 Vol.
11%
21°C
$984 Vol.
34%
22°C
$858 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$1,148 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 4, with 36.5% implied probability for 21°C edging out 28% for 22°C and 23% for 23°C or higher, driven by ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converging on 21-23°C amid building high pressure. After a recent cold snap with rain and snow earlier in the week—evident in April 1 highs around 17°C—a subtropical ridge now promises abundant sunshine, low cloud cover (0-10%), and light winds, boosting above-climatological averages (typically 16-18°C in early April). Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads in peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing, and any transient high clouds, with final hourly updates from NOAA and Italian services expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
音量
$15,315終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 4, with 36.5% implied probability for 21°C edging out 28% for 22°C and 23% for 23°C or higher, driven by ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converging on 21-23°C amid building high pressure. After a recent cold snap with rain and snow earlier in the week—evident in April 1 highs around 17°C—a subtropical ridge now promises abundant sunshine, low cloud cover (0-10%), and light winds, boosting above-climatological averages (typically 16-18°C in early April). Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads in peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing, and any transient high clouds, with final hourly updates from NOAA and Italian services expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,315終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 4, with 36.5% implied probability for 21°C edging out 28% for 22°C and 23% for 23°C or higher, driven by ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converging on 21-23°C amid building high pressure. After a recent cold snap with rain and snow earlier in the week—evident in April 1 highs around 17°C—a subtropical ridge now promises abundant sunshine, low cloud cover (0-10%), and light winds, boosting above-climatological averages (typically 16-18°C in early April). Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads in peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing, and any transient high clouds, with final hourly updates from NOAA and Italian services expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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