Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, center Milan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and southerly winds after a recent cold snap with rain and snow across northern Italy. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering, with 22°C and 23°C nearly tied due to model spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating, low-level moisture, and urban effects at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations—above the early-April climatological average of 17-18°C. Key differentiators include subtle variations in subsidence strength and cloud timing, which could cap peaks at 22°C or allow 23-24°C. New 00Z/12Z model runs and April 4 observations will sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
6%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
16°C or below
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$670 Vol.
1%
19°C
$163 Vol.
3%
20°C
$144 Vol.
8%
21°C
$142 Vol.
9%
22°C
$286 Vol.
27%
23°C
$180 Vol.
27%
24°C
$119 Vol.
14%
25°C
$192 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$206 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, center Milan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and southerly winds after a recent cold snap with rain and snow across northern Italy. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering, with 22°C and 23°C nearly tied due to model spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating, low-level moisture, and urban effects at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations—above the early-April climatological average of 17-18°C. Key differentiators include subtle variations in subsidence strength and cloud timing, which could cap peaks at 22°C or allow 23-24°C. New 00Z/12Z model runs and April 4 observations will sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
音量
$4,695終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, center Milan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and southerly winds after a recent cold snap with rain and snow across northern Italy. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering, with 22°C and 23°C nearly tied due to model spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating, low-level moisture, and urban effects at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations—above the early-April climatological average of 17-18°C. Key differentiators include subtle variations in subsidence strength and cloud timing, which could cap peaks at 22°C or allow 23-24°C. New 00Z/12Z model runs and April 4 observations will sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,695終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Italian Aeronautica Militare guidance, center Milan's highest temperature on April 5 at around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and southerly winds after a recent cold snap with rain and snow across northern Italy. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering, with 22°C and 23°C nearly tied due to model spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating, low-level moisture, and urban effects at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations—above the early-April climatological average of 17-18°C. Key differentiators include subtle variations in subsidence strength and cloud timing, which could cap peaks at 22°C or allow 23-24°C. New 00Z/12Z model runs and April 4 observations will sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
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