Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Italian services like 3B Meteo and Meteo.it, project Milan's highest temperature on April 3 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and enhanced solar heating. This trader consensus, with 21°C at 51% implied probability and 22°C at 28%, reflects recent model runs showing daytime peaks of 20-23°C after a cooler early April pattern averaging 16-18°C, with overnight lows near 7-9°C allowing efficient diurnal warming in the Po Valley urban setting. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential thin cloud intrusions, but low odds below 20°C underscore the sunny, mild outlook; watch afternoon satellite imagery and Linate Airport observations for final confirmation before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 50%
22°C 29%
23°C or higher 15.3%
20°C 8%
$30,169 Vol.
$30,169 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
50%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
15%
21°C 50%
22°C 29%
23°C or higher 15.3%
20°C 8%
$30,169 Vol.
$30,169 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
50%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Italian services like 3B Meteo and Meteo.it, project Milan's highest temperature on April 3 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and enhanced solar heating. This trader consensus, with 21°C at 51% implied probability and 22°C at 28%, reflects recent model runs showing daytime peaks of 20-23°C after a cooler early April pattern averaging 16-18°C, with overnight lows near 7-9°C allowing efficient diurnal warming in the Po Valley urban setting. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential thin cloud intrusions, but low odds below 20°C underscore the sunny, mild outlook; watch afternoon satellite imagery and Linate Airport observations for final confirmation before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問