Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 55-56°F for the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6, driven by a recent cold frontal passage on April 5 ushering in a cool Canadian air mass, 5-10°F below early April climatological normals of 56-58°F. The tight race between 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (26%) stems from model spread in post-frontal boundary layer mixing, lingering low clouds, and light winds potentially capping highs, with some members cooler amid fog/drizzle remnants and others warmer under partial clearing. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,675 Vol.
$11,675 Vol.
2026/04/06
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,675 Vol.
$11,675 Vol.
2026/04/06
47°F or below
$1,369 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$939 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$800 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$1,061 Vol.
15%
54-55°F
$1,086 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$859 Vol.
26%
58-59°F
$678 Vol.
16%
60-61°F
$571 Vol.
8%
62-63°F
$1,187 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$1,072 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$2,052 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 55-56°F for the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6, driven by a recent cold frontal passage on April 5 ushering in a cool Canadian air mass, 5-10°F below early April climatological normals of 56-58°F. The tight race between 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (26%) stems from model spread in post-frontal boundary layer mixing, lingering low clouds, and light winds potentially capping highs, with some members cooler amid fog/drizzle remnants and others warmer under partial clearing. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$11,675終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 55-56°F for the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6, driven by a recent cold frontal passage on April 5 ushering in a cool Canadian air mass, 5-10°F below early April climatological normals of 56-58°F. The tight race between 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (26%) stems from model spread in post-frontal boundary layer mixing, lingering low clouds, and light winds potentially capping highs, with some members cooler amid fog/drizzle remnants and others warmer under partial clearing. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,675終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 55-56°F for the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6, driven by a recent cold frontal passage on April 5 ushering in a cool Canadian air mass, 5-10°F below early April climatological normals of 56-58°F. The tight race between 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (26%) stems from model spread in post-frontal boundary layer mixing, lingering low clouds, and light winds potentially capping highs, with some members cooler amid fog/drizzle remnants and others warmer under partial clearing. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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