Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 23°C at 30.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 24°C and 22°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian models like those from 3B Meteo and MeteoLive showing daytime 2m highs of 21-24°C under a dominant anticyclone delivering subsidence warming and abundant sunshine for Easter Monday. Recent 24-48 hour model runs indicate a shift from earlier wetter, cooler outlooks to advanced spring patterns with southerly flows enhancing Po Valley temperatures above April norms of 18°C, though scattered clouds or delayed clearing could cap peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 25°C. Watch tomorrow's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations for refinements amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月6日のミラノの最高気温は？
4月6日のミラノの最高気温は？
23℃ 31%
24°C 22%
22℃ 17%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
2%
19°C
3%
20℃
4%
21°C
7%
22℃
17%
23℃
31%
24°C
22%
25°C
17%
26℃
9%
27℃以上
8%
23℃ 31%
24°C 22%
22℃ 17%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
17°C以下
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$869 Vol.
2%
19°C
$254 Vol.
3%
20℃
$150 Vol.
4%
21°C
$209 Vol.
7%
22℃
$214 Vol.
17%
23℃
$262 Vol.
31%
24°C
$161 Vol.
22%
25°C
$139 Vol.
17%
26℃
$192 Vol.
9%
27℃以上
$231 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 23°C at 30.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 24°C and 22°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian models like those from 3B Meteo and MeteoLive showing daytime 2m highs of 21-24°C under a dominant anticyclone delivering subsidence warming and abundant sunshine for Easter Monday. Recent 24-48 hour model runs indicate a shift from earlier wetter, cooler outlooks to advanced spring patterns with southerly flows enhancing Po Valley temperatures above April norms of 18°C, though scattered clouds or delayed clearing could cap peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 25°C. Watch tomorrow's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations for refinements amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$4,714終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 23°C at 30.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 24°C and 22°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian models like those from 3B Meteo and MeteoLive showing daytime 2m highs of 21-24°C under a dominant anticyclone delivering subsidence warming and abundant sunshine for Easter Monday. Recent 24-48 hour model runs indicate a shift from earlier wetter, cooler outlooks to advanced spring patterns with southerly flows enhancing Po Valley temperatures above April norms of 18°C, though scattered clouds or delayed clearing could cap peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 25°C. Watch tomorrow's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations for refinements amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,714終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 23°C at 30.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 24°C and 22°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian models like those from 3B Meteo and MeteoLive showing daytime 2m highs of 21-24°C under a dominant anticyclone delivering subsidence warming and abundant sunshine for Easter Monday. Recent 24-48 hour model runs indicate a shift from earlier wetter, cooler outlooks to advanced spring patterns with southerly flows enhancing Po Valley temperatures above April norms of 18°C, though scattered clouds or delayed clearing could cap peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 25°C. Watch tomorrow's 12Z ECMWF update and ARPA Lombardia observations for refinements amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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